AI DISCOVERY INDEX PUBLIC BETA

How much of it
is actually new?

Scientific claims from AI labs, measured against the knowledge that came before them. Explore the evidence behind the discovery.

CLAIMS INDEXED
142 method context records
ORGANIZATIONS
6frontier labs & companies
SCIENTIFIC DOMAINS
7from mathematics to medicine
DISCOVERY CLAIMS ASSESSED
57 awaiting assessment

Initial research sample. Provisional AI-assisted assessments, not independent expert verdicts. Missing claims are not zero discoveries.

REVIEWED 11 SEPT 2026
THE EVIDENCE

Discovery index 14

Dataset JSON ↧

You’re reading the published research snapshot. Interactive filters become available when the index loads. Claim titles below open their primary sources.

Every assessment links to its evidence

Scientific claim records and provisional novelty assessments
DISCOVERY / CLAIMORGANIZATIONDOMAINNOVELTY CLAIM DATEDetails
A smaller algorithm for complex matrix multiplication
Public algorithmClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

A bilinear algorithm multiplies two 4 × 4 complex matrices with 48 scalar multiplications.

Provisional assessment: A new construction beyond the documented 49-multiplication baseline. The numerical gain is small, but the construction improves a long-standing bound in this specific setting. This does not establish a new matrix-multiplication exponent or a universal speedup.

Prior art: Strassen's recursive construction ↗ · 1969

Applying Strassen's 2 × 2 construction twice gives 49 multiplications for 4 × 4 matrices. AlphaTensor's 47-multiplication binary-field result is not the same setting.

Review limits: Provisional assessment from the announcement and disclosed result. We have not independently run symbolic verification or exhaustively searched all bilinear constructions.

Google DeepMind
AlphaEvolve / Gemini
MathematicsN2New result
Medium confidence · provisional
14 May 2025
Larger cap-set constructions
Peer-reviewed / constructionClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

FunSearch produces improved cap-set constructions, including a set of size 512 in dimension eight.

Provisional assessment: The paper documents new constructions for a well-studied extremal problem. This is new mathematical output within an existing problem and search framework, rather than a new field or a solution of the general cap-set problem.

Prior art: Edel and Bierbrauer; generalized product caps ↗ · 2004

Earlier finite cap constructions and product-cap methods provide the comparison framework in the FunSearch paper. A full reconstruction of the record history remains outstanding.

Review limits: Prior-art coverage is partial. We rely on the paper's comparison and have not reproduced its programs or its asymptotic construction.

Google DeepMind
FunSearch / Codey
MathematicsN2New result
Medium confidence · provisional
14 Dec 2023
A 47-multiplication construction over the binary field
Peer-reviewed / algorithmClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

AlphaTensor finds a 4 × 4 matrix-multiplication algorithm requiring 47 scalar multiplications in arithmetic modulo two.

Provisional assessment: A new construction for the specified field. It advances the documented baseline within an established tensor-decomposition framework; its novelty should not be generalized to ordinary real or complex arithmetic.

Prior art: Strassen's recursive construction ↗ · 1969

Recursive use of the seven-product algorithm requires 49 scalar multiplications. AlphaTensor's improvement here relies on binary-field arithmetic.

Review limits: We have not rerun the released constructions. Subsequent algorithms do not change the novelty assessment at the 2022 cutoff.

Google DeepMind
AlphaTensor
Computer scienceN2New result
Medium confidence · provisional
05 Oct 2022
A mixed sodium–lithium solid electrolyte
Preprint / experimentClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

AI-assisted screening leads to a mixed sodium–lithium solid electrolyte, followed by experimental validation with PNNL.

Provisional assessment: Provisionally an incremental compositional extension in an established family of solid electrolytes. Screening scale and development speed measure the discovery process, not the material's novelty or superiority.

Prior art: Asano et al., solid halide electrolytes ↗ · 14 Sept 2018

High-conductivity halide solid electrolytes for solid-state batteries were already demonstrated. This establishes family-level precedent, not an exact structural match to the new composition.

Review limits: Low-confidence rating. Exact composition matching, patents, and a standardized performance comparison could change this classification. No percentage novelty or performance gain is assigned.

Microsoft
Azure Quantum Elements / materials AI
Materials scienceN1Incremental
Low confidence · provisional
08 Jan 2024
Generated inhibitors of the known DDR1 target
Peer-reviewed / experimentClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

GENTRL generates candidate DDR1 inhibitors, with synthesized compounds tested experimentally.

Provisional assessment: An incremental medicinal-chemistry result on an established target. Existing selective DDR1 inhibitors and related scaffolds predate the work. Similarity is evidence of close prior art, not proof of copying or an identical molecule.

Prior art: Selective DDR1 inhibitors and prior kinase scaffolds ↗ · 10 Apr 2013

Gao and colleagues had reported selective, orally bioavailable DDR1 inhibitors in 2013. Bender's contemporaneous analysis found close chemical neighbors for a generated compound in ChEMBL.

Review limits: We have not computed molecular fingerprints or run a patent search. Bender's 75% search threshold is not a measured universal novelty score and is not reported as one. Assay results from different studies are not directly compared.

Insilico Medicine
GENTRL
ChemistryN1Incremental
Medium confidence · provisional
02 Sept 2019
A formalization of Fermat's Last Theorem
METHOD CONTEXTClaimant report / formalizationClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

Anthropic reports a complete Lean formalization of Fermat's Last Theorem, following existing mathematical proofs.

Provisional assessment: The theorem is a known result. The potentially new contribution is its formal verification artifact and the automation process. N0 applies only to discovery of the theorem, not to the value or novelty of formalization.

Prior art: Wiles; Darmon, Diamond, and Taylor ↗ · 1995

Wiles proved the theorem in work published in 1995. Anthropic explicitly says its formalization follows the later exposition by Darmon, Diamond, and Taylor.

Review limits: Method-context record, excluded from discovery rankings. This is acknowledged reuse, not a plagiarism allegation. The formalization's validity and method novelty have not been independently audited here.

Anthropic
Claude / Prove2Me
MathematicsN0Known result
High confidence · provisional
04 Sept 2026
A proposed resolution of the Navier–Stokes problem
Claimant report / proof artifactsClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

OpenAI announces a proposed solution of the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize problem and releases a paper and a formal proof artifact.

Provisional assessment: A potentially major result requiring independent specialist assessment. The closest proof strategy, theorem assumptions, and priority relative to concurrent work have not been resolved by this initial review.

Prior art: Tao's averaged Navier–Stokes blowup construction ↗ · 03 Feb 2014

Tao established finite-time blowup for a modified, averaged equation. That result is relevant background but is not a solution for the original Navier–Stokes equations.

Review limits: No proof verification or adjudication of priority was performed. Concurrent results for different equations must not be treated as identical. No claim of copying is made.

OpenAI
Internal research model
PhysicsUnassessed
Review incomplete
08 Sept 2026
A claimed improvement in the zeta-zero proportion
Claimant report / proof artifactsClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

Anthropic reports raising a lower bound for the proportion of Riemann-zeta zeros on the critical line from 41.6% to 67.2%.

Provisional assessment: Potentially a new result combining existing mathematical tools. The cited numerical baseline, theorem assumptions, and full proof require specialist review before this leaderboard assigns novelty credit.

Prior art: Unconditional pair-correlation results ↗ · 08 Jun 2023

Baluyot, Goldston, Suriajaya, and Turnage-Butterbaugh developed an unconditional Montgomery theorem. The announcement also credits Aryan and Bombieri. These are stated ingredients, not a verified latest numerical record.

Review limits: We have not checked the Lean artifact, its assumptions, or the complete prior-art literature. This is not a claimed proof of the Riemann hypothesis itself.

Anthropic
Unreleased research Claude
MathematicsUnassessed
Review incomplete
10 Aug 2026
A claimed disproof of the unit-distance conjecture
Claimant report / external checks reportedClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

OpenAI reports a construction giving a polynomial improvement over classical grid examples for the planar unit-distance problem.

Provisional assessment: A potentially major new result, but this initial review has not compared the proof with the closest constructions or independently established its quantitative improvement. It remains unassessed rather than receiving a score from the announcement alone.

Prior art: Classical grid constructions and incidence bounds ↗ · 21 Jul 2025

The existing literature distinguishes lower-bound constructions from upper bounds on the maximum number of unit distances. A 2025 paper provides pre-claim context; an upper bound is not an interchangeable baseline for a new lower bound.

Review limits: Independent specialists are reported as checking the result, but this leaderboard has not verified the proof or its exact prior-art distance. No numerical improvement is inferred from unmatched upper and lower bounds.

OpenAI
Unreleased reasoning model
MathematicsUnassessed
Review incomplete
20 May 2026
A generated study of compositional regularization
Workshop reviews / withdrawnClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

An AI-generated manuscript reports negative results for compositional regularization and receives workshop review scores above the stated acceptance threshold.

Provisional assessment: Review scores assess a manuscript, not its distance from prior art. The specific negative result needs comparison with earlier regularization and compositional-generalization experiments before a novelty rating can be assigned.

Prior art: Earlier compositional-generalization and regularization research ↗ · Unresolved

The closest experiment has not been identified in this initial review. The earlier AI Scientist framework is process context and does not establish priority for this scientific result.

Review limits: The paper was withdrawn under the experiment protocol; the workshop did not perform a final meta-review. This record does not describe an accepted main-conference publication.

Sakana AI
The AI Scientist-v2
Computer scienceUnassessed
Review incomplete
12 Mar 2025
A large catalogue of predicted stable crystals
Peer-reviewed / computationalClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

GNoME reports 381,000 new entries on an updated computational convex hull, within a larger set of predicted crystal structures.

Provisional assessment: A substantial catalogue expansion is documented. A blanket novelty rating would conceal differences between new compositions, new structures, and variants of known prototypes. Entry-level matching against announcement-date databases is required.

Prior art: Materials Project and OQMD catalogues ↗ · 2021-03

The study starts from March 2021 database snapshots. These are useful baselines, but leave a gap before the November 2023 public claim.

Review limits: No structure-by-structure deduplication, patent search, or synthesis validation was performed here. Computational stability is distinct from experimental synthesizability.

Google DeepMind
GNoME
Materials scienceUnassessed
Review incomplete
29 Nov 2023
Learning to control tokamak plasma shapes
METHOD CONTEXTPeer-reviewed / experimentClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

A learned controller produces and maintains multiple plasma configurations on EPFL's TCV tokamak.

Provisional assessment: An experimentally demonstrated control-method advance. It is tracked as enabling research, not counted as a new physical law or a separate discovery for each plasma configuration.

Prior art: Conventional TCV magnetic feedback control ↗ · 2021

Model-based control and the study of shaped plasmas predate this work. The Nature paper describes the conventional controller architecture it replaces and cites the preceding control literature.

Review limits: Research-method context record; excluded from discovery rankings. A separate controller-novelty review would require comparison with earlier control architectures.

Google DeepMind
Deep reinforcement learning
PhysicsUnassessed
Review incomplete
16 Feb 2022
Predicted structures across the human proteome
Peer-reviewed / predictionsClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

AlphaFold expands structural coverage across the human proteome, reporting confident predictions for 58% of residues.

Provisional assessment: Expanded predictive coverage can enable discoveries, but does not establish that every prediction is a new biological finding. Each structure needs its own comparison to experimental structures, templates, and earlier predictions.

Prior art: Experimental structures and earlier AlphaFold predictions ↗ · 2020

The study reports experimental coverage of 17% of human-protein residues. Earlier structure-prediction methods already existed, including the CASP13 AlphaFold system.

Review limits: This record aggregates a catalogue and receives no blanket novelty score. Predictions and experimental observations are explicitly distinguished.

Google DeepMind
AlphaFold 2
BiologyUnassessed
Review incomplete
22 Jul 2021
An AI-designed antifibrotic drug candidate
Later peer-reviewed clinical dataClaim source ↗
Evidence & sources

Insilico reports an AI-selected antifibrotic target and AI-designed candidate, later disclosed as the TNIK inhibitor rentosertib.

Provisional assessment: TNIK inhibition was known before the claim. The possible novelty lies in the particular compound and its antifibrotic use. Neither target novelty nor chemical novelty can be resolved from the early undisclosed-target announcement alone.

Prior art: NCB-0846 and earlier TNIK inhibition ↗ · 26 Aug 2016

Masuda and colleagues published a small-molecule TNIK inhibitor in cancer research in 2016. A 2018 study also examined TNIK inhibition in an epithelial–mesenchymal transition context.

Review limits: A dated patent and chemical-structure review is outstanding. Later clinical studies strengthen evidence for the candidate but cannot retroactively establish novelty at the 2021 cutoff. Clinical efficacy is not rated here.

Insilico Medicine
PandaOmics / Chemistry42
MedicineUnassessed
Review incomplete
24 Feb 2021
NOVELTY SCALEN0 Known resultN1 IncrementalN2 New resultN3 New direction Unassessed
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